Today's scan:
Right: 17, 15, 13 mm
Left: 16, 13 mm
E2: 563
The E2 is a little less than 200 per follicle if you're looking at the largest 3. (Does anyone know if that *really* matters?) The nurse said they were aiming at 3-4 at 17 mm. I think they were a little concerned not to try to increase the ones I have that are close since there are a few others waiting in the wings and we really don't want to overstimulate because I'd be incredibly annoyed if this cycle got canceled because I responded too well!
So, the conclusion?
Trigger tonight! IUI scheduled for early Friday afternoon. Woohoo!!
I alternate between being pretty sure that this has an incredibly low chance of being successful and worrying that it will be too successful and I'll end up with triplets. So, I've been on the search for data about success rates and multiples rates for IUI.
I've found all sorts of information (having access to my University's science journals can be good and bad). It ranges from "having 6 follicles larger than 12 mm will double pregnancy chances while not increasing multiples chances if you're over 35" to "IUI is only about 12 % successful, ever, for unexplained IF and people should stop doing it" to "having more than 1 follicle is BAD BAD BAD and will guarantee a baby per follicle!!" OK, so obviously these are phrased a little differently in the journals, but you get the picture.
My conclusions? Who the hell knows. I mean, really, we don't have any idea what is *causing* my infertility. (Subfertility, really.) It *could* have been a blocked tube. It *could* have been a high-ish FSH. It *could* have been a fibroid. It *could* have been a small amount of endometriosis. It *could* have been some adhesions. It *could* just be that I'm getting older and the probability of producing a healthy egg each month is just getting lower. So, what are our chances? I don't know.
I do know that I found one article that at least gives me a little hope. It says the strongest predictors of success for injectables IUI are total number of follices and lining thickness. Highly motile sperm percentage helps a bit and number of cycles trying hurts a smidge. So, overall, we're at least on the right side of those numbers.
And, I found a website that reviewed an article (I couldn't access the article itself, but I did also look at its abstract) that essentially says that triplet rates were only about 1% if there were fewer than 6 follicles over 12 mm, fewer than 4 follicles over 15 mm and E2 levels less than 1000. And, again, that over age 35 this probability was even lower (zero in their study population). So, overall, it looks like triplets aren't too probable -- which is a GOOOOOOOOOD thing. Then, there was another study that said that anything over 15 mm *could* implant. Which is a little scarier!!
But, again, I still lean toward the -- man, this is unlikely to happen at all.
Overall, I have to keep reminding myself, I got pregnant once. Post treatment. On or own. It means that it COULD happen.
(I also have to keep reminding myself that most of my anxiety, irritability and strong desire to cry about the stupidest things right now is coming from estrogen. And that we're headed to our older nephew's 3rd birthday party this Saturday. That's the third birthday party of his we've gone to since we've been trying to get pregnant. If the IUI had been scheduled for Saturday we would have had to skip it. No such luck. Wait, I mean, yay, I'm so glad we get to make it. Yahoo.)
So, anyway, it looks like March Madness has begun!
Wow, great response!! Good luck on Friday Rebecca!
ReplyDeleteGood luck Rebecca, it is so stressful to contemplate all of the what ifs. I do hope this is it!
ReplyDeletegreat response!!! best of luck on Friday :-)
ReplyDeleteoh wow...friday will be here soon enough -- how exciting! i have my fingers and toes crossed that all goes well for you. keep thinking positively. good luck!
ReplyDeleteI think those are some good numbers. I was always bummed I didn't get more follies off clomid, so I think you're doing great-- just enough and too many. Fingers crossed that some sperm-meets-egg magic happens.
ReplyDeleteGood luck! That looks like a great response to me!
ReplyDeleteI like your chances! Don't forget, my last IUI I had four mature follies and you know how that turned out.... :) If it could happen for me that should give you a bit of hope. Keeping everything crossed for you my friend!
ReplyDeleteThose numbers sound great to me (and I totally understand the triplet anxiety!). I'm keeping everything crossed for you guys, and praying for you. It always sucks that the hormones are highest when you're more likely to freak out anyway, but just keep breathing and remind yourself it won't always feel this way. I'm thinking of you all week <3
ReplyDeleteGood luck Friday. Try not to get too discouraged by the research...This could be your cycle. Trust Mother Nature to do the work.
ReplyDeleteBest of luck... I find it so frustrating that all the journals/evidence contradicts and is never particularly hopeful. I guess that's why we spend a small fortune to trust that they have read the evidence and knows what they're doing :)) I don't know that it would be a baby per follicle - especially after my experience of 20+follicles - 17 eggs - 15 injected - 11 fertilised - 5 made it to day 2 - and only one implanted plus 3 frozen... there are too many step in between. Fingers crossed for you and hoping for you that you'll nephew's 4th birthday party next year with a little bundle of joy xoxo
ReplyDeleteSuper great response! Watch out Kate Plus 8--just kidding. Seriously, I think you've got good odds, and IUIs do indeed work!
ReplyDeleteI think those are fabulous numbers - you have three obviously ripe follies and they've still got a couple of days to grow. It's sounding really really really good to me!!! Tripleys seems less likely (I think it's just unlikely in general!) but I understand the worry! We had three big follies at trigger and two of those implanted!
ReplyDeleteIt's so obvious from this post that you're a scientist, I mean the way you analyze every single detail. :D
ReplyDeleteI think those numbers are awesome, and I can't wait to hear from you two weeks from now.
Best of luck babe.
The articles and studies are so very confusing! I think you simply have to take a deep breath, and jump! Which it sounds like you're doing - which is wonderful! I'm so excited that it's time - I'm so hopeful for this IUI for you!!! And I had the same reaction to high estrogen - crying at everything!!!
ReplyDeleteWhat an awesome response. I'm so excited about tomorrow for you! Let the Madness begin. :)
ReplyDeleteWhat great numbers! I will be thinking of you tomorrow! Good Luck!
ReplyDeleteI heart you're love of numbers and statistics =) I think you're right that the chance of trips is very low. It sounds like you have some great follies in there. Here's wishing you the very best of luck!!!
ReplyDeleteSorry the IUI timing didn't work out for you to miss the party. Hope it's a quick one and you can find a reason (real or not) to excuse yourself after an hour =)
Best of luck tomorrow great numbers. And hey, if you have triplets at least you won't need to go through all this again.
ReplyDeleteI have to say, its a crap shoot whether everything is perfect or not. I totally thought that our (now successful!) IUI was a wash with funky hormones, only one follie and a sub 6 lining. The doctors even apologized for what appeared to everyone as an unsuccessful cycle. Bottom line...Keep your chin up and hope for the best because my "woe is me" TWW was such a waste!
ReplyDeleteHey, it's Friday! I'll be thinking of you this afternoon with my fingers crossed! I hope the 2WW goes by quickly.
ReplyDeleteI was out sick yesterday, so I just read this, but... GOOD LUCK TODAY!
ReplyDeleteI'll be thinkin' of you.
Yay! for trigger and for great-looking numbers! I really like the careful approach by Dr. Smiles. It's better to keep the E2 at bay. It seems you got 3 eggies in that basket for sure!!!
ReplyDeleteFingers crossed for a fantastic D-day for you guys!!!
I hope today went well!! Fingers are crossed for no more than two babies! :)
ReplyDelete